Should I start Drake Maye or Justice Hill in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Drake Maye's market-based projection is 18.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 13th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Justice Hill's market-based projection is 6.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 101st highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Drake Maye, and the board ranks him 79th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justice Hill, and the board ranks him 78th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Drake Maye has been on the field for 98 percent of NE snaps, dropped back 275 times and thrown 8.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 39 of 275 dropbacks and scrambled 26 times.

In Week 6 against NYJ he completed 18 of 32 passes for 235 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 25 yards.

In Week 7 against CHI he completed 24 of 30 passes for 321 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 26 yards.

In Week 8 against MIA he completed 16 of 20 passes for 199 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 7 yards.

Through Week 8, Justice Hill has been on the field for 43 percent of BAL snaps, taken 11 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 66 third down targets, had 0 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 25 targets have come 1.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 0 times for 0 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BUF he carried 3 times for 15 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Drake Maye played 17 games and scored 360.0 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB2.

He threw for 4394 yards on 492 attempts with 31 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 450 yards and 4 touchdowns.

That came to 28.9 attempts a game at 8.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justice Hill played 10 games and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 more yards.

That came to 1.8 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Drake Maye was available for 7 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Drake Maye scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Justice Hill 6.5, 14.7 a game between them.

Drake Maye finished QB2 and Justice Hill RB60, which are two different ladders.

Drake Maye is a quarterback and Justice Hill a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Drake Maye is off in Week 11 and Justice Hill in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

11.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.