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Should I start Drew Lock or Fernando Mendoza in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 7:11 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Seahawks to start QB Drew Lock vs. Raiders, giving Sam Darnold more time to heal (ESPN)
  • : Drew Lock: Listed Questionable (Oblique) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Seahawks' Quenton Nelson, Sam Darnold among starters ruled out (ESPN)

Week 10 verdict

Start

QB · SEA · at LV · Questionable

Market projects
14.7
fantasy pts
LV D vs QB
20.6
5th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
33 of 100 at QB
Snap share
97%
Through Week 9
Sit

QB · LV · vs SEA

Market projects
11.8
fantasy pts
SEA D vs QB
11.9
2nd fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
17%
Through Week 5
Start Lock or Mendoza? The full Week 10 breakdown

Start Drew Lock: his market-based projection is 3.1 points a game ahead of Fernando Mendoza's this season.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB12 · SEA · bye 11

Market-based projection
14.8 pts a game

QB14 · LV · bye 13

Market-based projection
11.7 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference3.1 points a game
  • Board size310 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Drew Lock's market-based projection is 14.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 27th highest figure of the 211 players with a market-based projection.

Fernando Mendoza's market-based projection is 11.7 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 35th highest figure of the 211 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Drew Lock, and the board ranks him 87th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Fernando Mendoza, and the board ranks him 167th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 9, Drew Lock has been on the field for 97 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 80 times and thrown 6.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 11 of 80 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 1 against NE he completed 16 of 22 passes for 187 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 14 yards.

In Week 2 against ARI he completed 19 of 26 passes for 235 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In Week 9 against ARI he completed 19 of 28 passes for 175 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 18 yards.

Through Week 5, Fernando Mendoza has been on the field for 17 percent of LV snaps, dropped back 9 times and thrown 5.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 1 of 9 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 5 against NE he completed 6 of 8 passes for 48 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Drew Lock played 5 games and scored 0.1 PPR points, 0.0 a game, finishing QB73.

He threw for 15 yards on 3 attempts with 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran for -5 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 0.6 attempts a game at 5.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Fernando Mendoza is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Drew Lock holds the bigger snap share, 97 percent against 17 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Drew Lock is off in Week 11 and Fernando Mendoza in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drew Lock is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

3.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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