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Should I start Drew Lock or Geno Smith in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 2:36 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Coach: Seahawks QB Sam Darnold ruled out with quad injury, is week-to-week (ESPN)
  • : Sam Darnold: Listed Out (Quadriceps) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Drew Lock: Questionable to Out (Elbow) (Sleeper injury feed)

Week 9 verdict

Start

QB · NYJ · at KC

Market projects
14.0
fantasy pts
KC D vs QB
13.9
6th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
23 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8
Sit

QB · SEA · vs ARI · Questionable

Market projects
13.3
fantasy pts
ARI D vs QB
22.4
2nd most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
36 of 100 at QB
Snap share
96%
Through Week 2
Start Smith or Lock? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Geno Smith: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Drew Lock's 96 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB32 · SEA · bye 11

Overall rank
226

QB33 · NYJ · bye 13

2026 vs pass yds line 6-2

Market-based projection
15.6 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
227

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The gap

  • Board size308 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Drew Lock, and the board ranks him 226th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Geno Smith, and the board ranks him 227th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Drew Lock is 0.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Geno Smith is 0.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 2 market sources. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Drew Lock's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 2, Drew Lock has been on the field for 96 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 51 times and thrown 7.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 8 of 51 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 1 against NE he completed 16 of 22 passes for 187 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 14 yards.

In Week 2 against ARI he completed 19 of 26 passes for 235 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 8, Geno Smith has been on the field for 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 272 times and thrown 7.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 46 of 272 dropbacks and scrambled 11 times.

In Week 6 against NE he completed 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 0 yards.

In Week 7 against MIA he completed 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 8 against LV he completed 20 of 32 passes for 290 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Drew Lock played 5 games and scored 0.1 PPR points, 0.0 a game, finishing QB73.

He threw for 15 yards on 3 attempts with 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran for -5 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 0.6 attempts a game at 5.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Geno Smith played 15 games and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He threw for 3025 yards on 448 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 29.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Geno Smith was available for 10 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Geno Smith scored 12.7 PPR points a game and Drew Lock 0.0, 12.7 a game between them.

Drew Lock finished QB73 that year and Geno Smith QB23.

Geno Smith had 445 more pass attempts than Drew Lock, 448 to 3.

Geno Smith had 3010 more passing yards than Drew Lock, 3025 to 15.

This season Geno Smith holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 96 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Drew Lock is off in Week 11 and Geno Smith in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drew Lock is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Should I drop Geno Smith?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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