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Should I start Jared Goff or Drew Lock in Week 10?

Updated Nov 11, 1:21 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Seahawks to start QB Drew Lock vs. Raiders, giving Sam Darnold more time to heal (ESPN)
  • : Drew Lock: Listed Questionable (Oblique) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Seahawks' Quenton Nelson, Sam Darnold among starters ruled out (ESPN)

Week 10 verdict

Start

QB · DET · vs NE

Market projects
16.6
fantasy pts
NE D vs QB
15.7
10th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
59 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 9
Sit

QB · SEA · at LV · Questionable

Market projects
14.9
fantasy pts
LV D vs QB
20.6
5th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
33 of 100 at QB
Snap share
97%
Through Week 9
Start Goff or Lock? The full Week 10 breakdown

Start Jared Goff: his market-based projection is 1.7 points a game ahead of Drew Lock's this season.

Should I drop Drew Lock for Jared Goff?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jared Goff projects 133 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.6 a game over 8 games), Drew Lock 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Jared Goff over Drew Lock, 16.6 to 14.9 projected PPR points. Drew Lock is listed questionable.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB14 · DET · bye 6

2026 vs pass yds line 4-4

Market-based projection
16.6 pts a game

QB20 · SEA · bye 11

Market-based projection
14.9 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference1.7 points a game
  • Board size313 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Jared Goff's market-based projection is 16.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 22nd highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Drew Lock's market-based projection is 14.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 35th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jared Goff, and the board ranks him 93rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Drew Lock, and the board ranks him 112th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Jared Goff has been on the field for 99 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 298 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 49 of 298 dropbacks and scrambled 6 times.

In Week 7 against GB he completed 22 of 32 passes for 303 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 0 yards.

In Week 8 against MIN he completed 18 of 25 passes for 176 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

In Week 9 against MIA he completed 17 of 25 passes for 170 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 7 yards.

Through Week 9, Drew Lock has been on the field for 97 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 80 times and thrown 6.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 11 of 80 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 1 against NE he completed 16 of 22 passes for 187 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 14 yards.

In Week 2 against ARI he completed 19 of 26 passes for 235 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In Week 9 against ARI he completed 19 of 28 passes for 175 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 18 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jared Goff played 17 games and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He threw for 4564 yards on 578 attempts with 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 34.0 attempts a game at 7.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Drew Lock played 5 games and scored 0.1 PPR points, 0.0 a game, finishing QB73.

He threw for 15 yards on 3 attempts with 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran for -5 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 0.6 attempts a game at 5.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jared Goff was available for 12 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Jared Goff scored 17.9 PPR points a game and Drew Lock 0.0, 17.9 a game between them.

Jared Goff finished QB9 that year and Drew Lock QB73.

Jared Goff had 575 more pass attempts than Drew Lock, 578 to 3.

Jared Goff had 4549 more passing yards than Drew Lock, 4564 to 15.

This season Jared Goff holds the bigger snap share, 99 percent against 97 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Jared Goff is off in Week 6 and Drew Lock in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drew Lock is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

1.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Drew Lock for Jared Goff?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Jared Goff projects 133 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.6 a game over 8 games), Drew Lock 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Jared Goff over Drew Lock, 16.6 to 14.9 projected PPR points. Drew Lock is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Jared Goff for Drew Lock?

    No. Keep Jared Goff: he projects 133 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.6 a game over 8 games), Drew Lock 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Jared Goff over Drew Lock, 16.6 to 14.9 projected PPR points. Drew Lock is listed questionable.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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