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Start Jared Goff or Patrick Mahomes? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 11:41 AM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Munich, set your lineup before then.

Latest

  • : Patrick Mahomes: Listed Questionable (Elbow) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

QB · KC · at ATL · Questionable

Market projects
18.0
recent weeks avg
ATL D vs QB
15.9
11th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
47 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 9
Sit

QB · DET · vs NE

Market projects
16.6
fantasy pts
NE D vs QB
15.7
10th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
60 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Jared Goff for Patrick Mahomes?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 139 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 8 games), Jared Goff 132 (16.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Jared Goff. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Patrick Mahomes over Jared Goff in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Patrick Mahomes at 18.0 points and Jared Goff at 16.6, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Patrick Mahomes this week yet, so his 18.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (16.3, 16.0 and 21.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Patrick Mahomes at ADP 107 and Jared Goff at 106.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Patrick Mahomes yet. His market-based projections were 16.3, 16.0 and 21.9 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 18.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

Player markets imply 16.6 fantasy points for Jared Goff, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jared Goff is 269 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 1 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (13, 14, 5 and 12 market sources).

That puts Patrick Mahomes 1.4 points ahead of Jared Goff on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Patrick Mahomes and KC visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 16.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Jared Goff and DET host NE on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NE allowed 15.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 236 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against NE, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Patrick Mahomes has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Patrick Mahomes is listed as questionable with a elbow injury.

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Patrick Mahomes played 99 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 289 times and threw an average of 5.6 air yards per attempt.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 6 against LAC: 61 of 61 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 19 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 7 against SEA: 53 of 53 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 165 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 14 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 8 against DEN: 69 of 69 snaps, 30 of 41 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 9 against NYJ: 62 of 66 snaps, 23 of 31 passes for 242 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Through Week 9, Jared Goff played 99 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 298 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 5 against ARI: 63 of 66 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 271 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 7 against GB: 68 of 68 snaps, 22 of 32 passes for 303 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 8 against MIN: 72 of 72 snaps, 18 of 25 passes for 176 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 9 against MIA: 59 of 59 snaps, 17 of 25 passes for 170 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Patrick Mahomes played 14 games for KC and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He completed 315 of 502 passes for 3587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 64 times for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Jared Goff for Patrick Mahomes?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 139 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 8 games), Jared Goff 132 (16.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Jared Goff. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Jared Goff?

    No. Keep Patrick Mahomes: he projects 139 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 8 games), Jared Goff 132 (16.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Jared Goff. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.

Should I drop Jared Goff?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board