Should I start T.J. Hockenson or Dylan Sampson in Week 10?

The market-based projections

T.J. Hockenson's market-based projection is 10.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 70th highest figure of the 216 players with a market-based projection.

Dylan Sampson's market-based projection is 8.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 87th highest figure of the 216 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on T.J. Hockenson, and the board ranks him 74th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dylan Sampson, and the board ranks him 72nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, T.J. Hockenson has been on the field for 67 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 75 third down targets, had 1 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 44 targets have averaged 7.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against IND he caught 4 of 5 targets for 35 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against DET he caught 4 of 5 targets for 58 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against BUF he caught 4 of 7 targets for 33 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Dylan Sampson has been on the field for 55 percent of CLE snaps, taken 20 percent of the carries, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 24 third down targets, had 0 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against TEN he carried 6 times for 45 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against PIT he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 6 of 8 targets for 62 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against NO he carried 8 times for 21 yards, caught 3 of 6 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 T.J. Hockenson played 15 games and scored 112.8 PPR points, 7.5 a game, finishing TE26.

He caught 51 of 66 targets for 438 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 4.4 targets a game, a 77 percent catch rate and 8.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Dylan Sampson played 15 games and scored 87.6 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing RB55.

He carried 65 times for 175 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 40 targets for 271 more yards.

That came to 4.3 carries a game at 2.7 yards a carry and 2.2 catches a game.

He was on the field for 25 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 15 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 T.J. Hockenson scored 7.5 PPR points a game and Dylan Sampson 5.8, 1.7 a game between them.

T.J. Hockenson finished TE26 and Dylan Sampson RB55, which are two different ladders.

T.J. Hockenson is a tight end and Dylan Sampson a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

T.J. Hockenson is off in Week 6 and Dylan Sampson in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.