Should I start Jaylin Noel or Efton Chism III in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Jaylin Noel's market-based projection is 6.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 114th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Efton Chism III's market-based projection is 4.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 127th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jaylin Noel, and the board ranks him 128th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Efton Chism III, and the board ranks him 153rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Jaylin Noel has been on the field for 46 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 0 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 21 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 4 against DAL he carried 1 time for 4 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 85 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TEN he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 41 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against JAX he caught 4 of 4 targets for 107 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Efton Chism III has been on the field for 47 percent of NE snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 1 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 19 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 4 against BUF he caught 2 of 4 targets for 42 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against LV he carried 1 time for 2 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 57 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jaylin Noel played 17 games and scored 68.4 PPR points, 4.0 a game, finishing WR91.

He caught 26 of 35 targets for 292 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 2.1 targets a game, a 74 percent catch rate and 11.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 27 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Efton Chism III played 8 games and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target.

That came to 0.4 targets a game, a 100 percent catch rate and 25.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jaylin Noel was available for 9 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Jaylin Noel scored 4.0 PPR points a game and Efton Chism III 2.1, 2.0 a game between them.

Jaylin Noel had 32 more targets than Efton Chism III, 35 to 3.

Jaylin Noel had 217 more receiving yards than Efton Chism III, 292 to 75.

This season Efton Chism III holds the bigger snap share, 47 percent against 46 percent.

This season Jaylin Noel holds the bigger target share, 10 percent against 9 percent.

Byes and availability

Jaylin Noel is off in Week 8. No bye is listed for Efton Chism III.

What would change the answer

1.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.