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Start Jaylin Noel or Efton Chism III? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 5:01 PM ET.

Start Jaylin Noel over Efton Chism III

Start

Jaylin Noel

WR · HOU · vs NYG

Market projects
6.4
fantasy pts
NYG D vs WR
31.1
14th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
70 of 100 at WR
Snap share
46%
Through Week 6
Target share
10%
Through Week 6
Sit

Efton Chism III

WR · NE · at CHI

Market projects
4.6
fantasy pts
CHI D vs WR
31.5
15th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
28 of 100 at WR

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jaylin Noel over Efton Chism III in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jaylin Noel at 6.4 points and Efton Chism III at 4.6, a gap of 1.8.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 4.6 fantasy points for Efton Chism III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Efton Chism III is 20 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (11, 11 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.4 fantasy points for Jaylin Noel, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jaylin Noel is 25 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (13, 12 and 12 market sources).

That puts Jaylin Noel 1.8 points ahead of Efton Chism III on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Efton Chism III and NE visit CHI on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

CHI allowed 31.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 160 yards and a touchdown a game against CHI.

Jaylin Noel and HOU host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 31.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 132 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against NYG.

By points allowed to the position, Efton Chism III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Efton Chism III is not on the injury report.

Jaylin Noel is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jaylin Noel played 46 percent of HOU snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 11 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylin Noel, Week 3 against IND: 14 of 54 snaps, 1 carry for 8 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Jaylin Noel, Week 4 against DAL: 34 of 55 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 85 yards.

Jaylin Noel, Week 5 against TEN: 30 of 66 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 41 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jaylin Noel, Week 6 against JAX: 31 of 63 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 107 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Efton Chism III played 8 games for NE and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target and 35 air yards.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Efton Chism III, Week 18 of 2025 against MIA: 1 target and 1 catch for 35 yards, 4.5 PPR points.

Efton Chism III, Week 17 of 2025 against NYJ: 41 of 66 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 40 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Jaylin Noel played 17 games for HOU and scored 68.4 PPR points, 4.0 a game, finishing WR91.

He caught 26 of 35 targets for 292 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets and 193 air yards.

He was on the field for 27 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board