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Should I start Theo Johnson or Efton Chism III in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 4:21 PM ET.

Start Efton Chism III: 67 percent of the snaps and 13 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Theo Johnson's 35 percent of the snaps and 4 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Your next move

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE20 · NYG · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
2.1 pts a game

WR59 · NE · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 2-6

Market-based projection
5.6 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
122

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The gap

  • Board size308 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Theo Johnson, and the board ranks him 121st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Efton Chism III, and the board ranks him 122nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Theo Johnson's market-based projection is 2.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 110th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Efton Chism III is 1.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 12 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Efton Chism III's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Theo Johnson has been on the field for 33 percent of NYG snaps, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 0 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 10.8 air yards.

In Week 4 against ARI he caught 1 of 1 target for 11 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against WAS he caught 2 of 3 targets for 35 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against PHI he was not given the ball.

Through Week 9, Efton Chism III has been on the field for 67 percent of NE snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 14 third down targets, had 0 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 11 targets have averaged 6.8 air yards.

In Week 7 against CHI he caught 1 of 1 target for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against MIA he caught 5 of 5 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against GB he caught 5 of 5 targets for 49 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Theo Johnson played 15 games and scored 127.8 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing TE18.

He caught 45 of 74 targets for 528 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 4.9 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 11.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Efton Chism III played 8 games and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target.

That came to 0.4 targets a game, a 100 percent catch rate and 25.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Theo Johnson was available for 7 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Theo Johnson scored 8.5 PPR points a game and Efton Chism III 2.1, 6.5 a game between them.

Theo Johnson is a tight end and Efton Chism III a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Efton Chism III is off in Week 11. No bye is listed for Theo Johnson.

What would change the answer

Efton Chism III has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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