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Should I start Theo Johnson or T.J. Hockenson in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 3:21 PM ET.

Start T.J. Hockenson: 50 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Theo Johnson's 35 percent of the snaps and 4 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE17 · NYG · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
2.1 pts a game

TE19 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 3-5

Market-based projection
10.5 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
123

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Theo Johnson, and the board ranks him 118th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on T.J. Hockenson, and the board ranks him 123rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Theo Johnson's market-based projection is 2.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 105th highest figure of the 209 players with a market-based projection.

The market has T.J. Hockenson at 2.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

T.J. Hockenson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Theo Johnson has been on the field for 33 percent of NYG snaps, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 0 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 10.8 air yards.

In Week 4 against ARI he caught 1 of 1 target for 11 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against WAS he caught 2 of 3 targets for 35 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against PHI he was not given the ball.

Through Week 9, T.J. Hockenson has been on the field for 65 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 75 third down targets, had 1 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 44 targets have averaged 7.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against IND he caught 4 of 5 targets for 35 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against DET he caught 4 of 5 targets for 58 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against BUF he caught 4 of 7 targets for 33 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Theo Johnson played 15 games and scored 127.8 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing TE18.

He caught 45 of 74 targets for 528 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 4.9 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 11.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 T.J. Hockenson played 15 games and scored 112.8 PPR points, 7.5 a game, finishing TE26.

He caught 51 of 66 targets for 438 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 4.4 targets a game, a 77 percent catch rate and 8.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 15 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Theo Johnson scored 8.5 PPR points a game and T.J. Hockenson 7.5, 1.0 a game between them.

Theo Johnson finished TE18 that year and T.J. Hockenson TE26.

Theo Johnson had 8 more targets than T.J. Hockenson, 74 to 66.

Theo Johnson had 90 more receiving yards than T.J. Hockenson, 528 to 438.

This season T.J. Hockenson holds the bigger snap share, 65 percent against 33 percent.

This season T.J. Hockenson holds the bigger target share, 21 percent against 5 percent.

Byes and availability

T.J. Hockenson is off in Week 6. No bye is listed for Theo Johnson.

What would change the answer

T.J. Hockenson has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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