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Should I start Josh Allen or Joe Fagnano in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 5:11 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Rookie Joe Fagnano to start Thursday night vs. Jaguars, Jesse Minter says (ESPN)

Start Josh Allen: 98 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Joe Fagnano's 78 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB2 · BUF · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 8-2

Market-based projection
22.5 pts a game

QB22 · BAL · bye unlisted

Overall rank
211

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Allen, and the board ranks him 43rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 2.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Joe Fagnano, and the board ranks him 211th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Josh Allen's market-based projection is 22.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 3rd highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Joe Fagnano is 9.1 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 13 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Joe Fagnano's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Josh Allen has been on the field for 99 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 237 times and thrown 9.0 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 32 of 237 dropbacks and scrambled 19 times.

In Week 5 against LAR he completed 12 of 19 passes for 210 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 10 times for 121 yards.

In Week 6 against LV he completed 23 of 33 passes for 255 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 4 yards.

In Week 8 against BAL he completed 21 of 34 passes for 289 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 7 times for 30 yards.

Through Week 8, Joe Fagnano has been on the field for 78 percent of BAL snaps, dropped back 25 times and thrown 4.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 9 of 25 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 8 against BUF he completed 10 of 21 passes for 91 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Josh Allen played 17 games and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He threw for 3668 yards on 460 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

That came to 27.1 attempts a game at 8.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Joe Fagnano is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Josh Allen holds the bigger snap share, 99 percent against 78 percent.

This season Josh Allen holds the bigger target share, 1 percent against 0 percent.

Byes and availability

Josh Allen is off in Week 7. No bye is listed for Joe Fagnano.

Joe Fagnano is listed as out on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Joe Fagnano has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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