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Should I start Gardner Minshew II or Joe Fagnano in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 8:16 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Rookie Joe Fagnano to start Thursday night vs. Jaguars, Jesse Minter says (ESPN)

Start Joe Fagnano: 78 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last game, against Gardner Minshew II's 42 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

Gardner Minshew II

QB25 · ARI · bye unlisted

Market-based projection
9.5 pts a game

Joe Fagnano

QB26 · BAL · bye unlisted

Overall rank
216

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Gardner Minshew II, and the board ranks him 211th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Joe Fagnano, and the board ranks him 216th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Gardner Minshew II's market-based projection is 9.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 78th highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Joe Fagnano is 9.1 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 14 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Joe Fagnano's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Gardner Minshew II has been on the field for 42 percent of ARI snaps, dropped back 21 times and thrown 6.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 1 of 21 dropbacks.

In Week 8 against DAL he completed 17 of 20 passes for 188 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 8, Joe Fagnano has been on the field for 78 percent of BAL snaps, dropped back 25 times and thrown 4.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 9 of 25 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 8 against BUF he completed 10 of 21 passes for 91 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Gardner Minshew II played 4 games and scored 0.7 PPR points, 0.2 a game, finishing QB72.

He threw for 37 yards on 13 attempts with 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, and ran for 2 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 3.3 attempts a game at 2.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Joe Fagnano is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Joe Fagnano holds the bigger snap share, 78 percent against 42 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

What would change the answer

Joe Fagnano has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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