Justin Jefferson or Garrett Wilson: who should I start?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Justin Jefferson at 17.4 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 17 books. That is the 20th highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

The player markets price Garrett Wilson at 14.9 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 17 books. That is the 41st highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Justin Jefferson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 10th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 4; 2QB: ADP 29.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Garrett Wilson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 18th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 59.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Justin Jefferson has been on the field for 92 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 39 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 10 third down targets and had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five.

His 9 targets have averaged 8.9 air yards.

In Week 1 against GB he caught 8 of 9 targets for 92 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 1, Garrett Wilson has been on the field for 75 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 5 third down targets, had 0 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 7 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 1 against TEN he caught 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Justin Jefferson played 17 games and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 12.5 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Garrett Wilson played 7 games and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.

He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 8.4 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 11.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Justin Jefferson was available for 10 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Garrett Wilson scored 14.2 PPR points a game and Justin Jefferson 11.9, 2.4 a game between them.

Justin Jefferson finished WR21 that year and Garrett Wilson WR62.

Justin Jefferson had 82 more targets than Garrett Wilson, 141 to 59.

Justin Jefferson had 653 more receiving yards than Garrett Wilson, 1048 to 395.

This season Justin Jefferson holds the bigger snap share, 92 percent against 75 percent.

This season Justin Jefferson holds the bigger target share, 39 percent against 30 percent.

Byes and availability

Justin Jefferson is off in Week 6 and Garrett Wilson in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.5 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.