Should I start Justin Jefferson or Matthew Golden in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Justin Jefferson's market-based projection is 15.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 26th highest figure of the 194 players with a market-based projection.

Matthew Golden's market-based projection is 14.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 33rd highest figure of the 194 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Jefferson, and the board ranks him 17th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 4; 2QB: ADP 15.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Matthew Golden, and the board ranks him 22nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Justin Jefferson has been on the field for 74 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 2 against CHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against TB he caught 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NO he carried 1 time for -11 yards, caught 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Matthew Golden has been on the field for 83 percent of GB snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 22 of the offence's 64 third down targets, had 1 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 57 targets have averaged 14.3 air yards.

In Week 4 against TB he carried 1 time for 6 yards, caught 3 of 7 targets for 21 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against CHI he caught 6 of 7 targets for 123 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against DAL he caught 6 of 13 targets for 104 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Justin Jefferson played 17 games and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Matthew Golden played 14 games and scored 70.0 PPR points, 5.0 a game, finishing WR89.

He caught 29 of 44 targets for 361 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 3.1 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 12.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Justin Jefferson was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Justin Jefferson scored 11.9 PPR points a game and Matthew Golden 5.0, 6.9 a game between them.

Justin Jefferson finished WR21 that year and Matthew Golden WR89.

Justin Jefferson had 97 more targets than Matthew Golden, 141 to 44.

Justin Jefferson had 687 more receiving yards than Matthew Golden, 1048 to 361.

This season Matthew Golden holds the bigger snap share, 83 percent against 74 percent.

This season Matthew Golden holds the bigger target share, 26 percent against 25 percent.

Byes and availability

Justin Jefferson is off in Week 6 and Matthew Golden in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.