Keenan Allen or Germie Bernard: who should I start in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Keenan Allen's market-based projection is 9.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 84th highest figure of the 156 players with a market-based projection.

Germie Bernard's market-based projection is 9.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 85th highest figure of the 156 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Keenan Allen: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 70th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Germie Bernard: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 71st overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Keenan Allen has been on the field for 59 percent of IND snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 31 third down targets, had 1 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 11 two minute targets.

His 29 targets have averaged 6.5 air yards.

In Week 2 against KC he caught 1 of 5 targets for 5 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against HOU he caught 6 of 9 targets for 63 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against PIT he caught 5 of 9 targets for 45 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Germie Bernard has been on the field for 48 percent of PIT snaps, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 7.4 air yards.

In Week 3 against CIN he caught 1 of 1 target for 14 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against CLE he caught 2 of 2 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against IND he carried 1 time for 4 yards, caught 6 of 9 targets for 80 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Keenan Allen played 17 games and scored 182.7 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing WR29.

He caught 81 of 122 targets for 777 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Germie Bernard is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Keenan Allen holds the bigger snap share, 59 percent against 48 percent.

This season Keenan Allen holds the bigger target share, 21 percent against 11 percent.

Byes and availability

Keenan Allen is off in Week 13. No bye is listed for Germie Bernard.

What would change the answer

0.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.