Should I start Luther Burden III or Isaiah Likely in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Luther Burden III's market-based projection is 12.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 63rd highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Isaiah Likely's market-based projection is 12.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 64th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Luther Burden III, and the board ranks him 48th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 39.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Isaiah Likely, and the board ranks him 49th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Luther Burden III has been on the field for 60 percent of CHI snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 51 third down targets, had 2 of its 31 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 43 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 4 against NYJ he carried 1 time for 11 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against GB he carried 4 times for 2 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against ATL he caught 8 of 8 targets for 95 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Isaiah Likely has been on the field for 74 percent of NYG snaps, drawn 29 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 55 third down targets, had 2 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 27 two minute targets.

His 59 targets have averaged 8.1 air yards.

In Week 4 against ARI he caught 7 of 12 targets for 66 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against WAS he caught 11 of 13 targets for 94 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against NO he caught 6 of 11 targets for 99 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Luther Burden III played 15 games and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 78 percent catch rate and 13.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Isaiah Likely played 14 games and scored 61.7 PPR points, 4.4 a game, finishing TE45.

He caught 27 of 36 targets for 307 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 2.6 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 11.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Luther Burden III scored 8.5 PPR points a game and Isaiah Likely 4.4, 4.1 a game between them.

Luther Burden III finished WR48 and Isaiah Likely TE45, which are two different ladders.

Luther Burden III is a wide receiver and Isaiah Likely a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Luther Burden III is off in Week 10 and Isaiah Likely in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.