Isaiah Likely or Tyler Warren: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Isaiah Likely at 10.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 16 books. That is the 81st highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Tyler Warren at 10.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 16 books. That is the 82nd highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Isaiah Likely: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 61st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 162.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tyler Warren: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 63rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 93.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Isaiah Likely has been on the field for 49 percent of NYG snaps, drawn 28 percent of the targets and had 33 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 7 third down targets, had 1 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 8 targets have averaged 8.0 air yards.

In Week 1 against DAL he caught 8 of 8 targets for 78 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 1, Tyler Warren has been on the field for 93 percent of IND snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 5 third down targets, had 0 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have averaged 4.6 air yards.

In Week 1 against BAL he caught 3 of 5 targets for 13 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Isaiah Likely played 14 games and scored 61.7 PPR points, 4.4 a game, finishing TE45.

He caught 27 of 36 targets for 307 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 2.6 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 11.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tyler Warren played 17 games and scored 188.5 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE4.

He caught 76 of 112 targets for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 19 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 10.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Warren was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Tyler Warren scored 11.1 PPR points a game and Isaiah Likely 4.4, 6.7 a game between them.

Isaiah Likely finished TE45 that year and Tyler Warren TE4.

Tyler Warren had 76 more targets than Isaiah Likely, 112 to 36.

Tyler Warren had 510 more receiving yards than Isaiah Likely, 817 to 307.

This season Tyler Warren holds the bigger snap share, 93 percent against 49 percent.

This season Isaiah Likely holds the bigger target share, 28 percent against 17 percent.

Byes and availability

Isaiah Likely is off in Week 8 and Tyler Warren in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.1 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.