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Start Isaiah Likely or Tyler Warren? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:11 PM ET.

Start Tyler Warren over Isaiah Likely

Warren projects lower, 11.0 to 11.8, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 67 for Warren, 144 for Likely.

Start

Tyler Warren

TE · IND · vs MIA

Market projects
11.0
recent weeks avg
MIA D vs TE
19.2
3rd most to TEs (2026)
Upside
High
85 of 100 at TE
Snap share
87%
Through Week 9
Target share
23%
Through Week 9
Sit

Isaiah Likely

TE · NYG · vs WAS

Market projects
11.8
fantasy pts
WAS D vs TE
20.7
2nd most to TEs (2026)
Upside
High
90 of 100 at TE
Snap share
75%
Through Week 9
Target share
27%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Tyler Warren for Isaiah Likely?

Not on these numbers alone. Tyler Warren projects 84 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.0 a game over 7 games) and Isaiah Likely 86 (10.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Tyler Warren over Isaiah Likely.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Tyler Warren over Isaiah Likely in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Tyler Warren at 11.0 points and Isaiah Likely at 11.8, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Tyler Warren still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 67 against 144, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Tyler Warren this week yet, so his 11.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (10.1 and 11.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 11.8 fantasy points for Isaiah Likely, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Isaiah Likely is 49 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (14, 12 and 14 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Tyler Warren yet. His market-based projections were 10.1 and 11.9 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 11.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Isaiah Likely 0.8 points ahead of Tyler Warren on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Isaiah Likely and NYG host WAS on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

WAS allowed 20.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 75 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against WAS.

Tyler Warren and IND host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 19.2 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 69 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against MIA.

By points allowed to the position, Isaiah Likely has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Isaiah Likely is not on the injury report.

Tyler Warren is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Isaiah Likely played 75 percent of NYG snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 21 percent of the air yards and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

Isaiah Likely, Week 5 against WAS: 71 of 89 snaps, 13 targets and 11 catches for 94 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Isaiah Likely, Week 6 against NO: 70 of 77 snaps, 11 targets and 6 catches for 99 yards, 1 touchdown.

Isaiah Likely, Week 7 against HOU: 57 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

Isaiah Likely, Week 9 against PHI: 50 of 67 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 53 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Tyler Warren played 87 percent of IND snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 15 percent of the air yards and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Warren, Week 4 against WAS: 56 of 66 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 41 yards.

Tyler Warren, Week 5 against PIT: 67 of 71 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 9 targets and 7 catches for 83 yards, 1 touchdown.

Tyler Warren, Week 8 against JAX: 44 of 61 snaps, 10 targets and 4 catches for 18 yards.

Tyler Warren, Week 9 against DAL: 53 of 64 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 44 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Isaiah Likely played 14 games for BAL and scored 61.7 PPR points, 4.4 a game, finishing TE45.

He caught 27 of 36 targets for 307 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets and 190 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyler Warren played 17 games for IND and scored 188.5 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE4.

He caught 76 of 112 targets for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 19 red zone targets and 343 air yards.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tyler Warren for Isaiah Likely?

    Not on these numbers alone. Tyler Warren projects 84 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.0 a game over 7 games) and Isaiah Likely 86 (10.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Tyler Warren over Isaiah Likely.

  • Should I drop Isaiah Likely for Tyler Warren?

    Not on these numbers alone. Isaiah Likely projects 86 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (10.8 a game over 8 games) and Tyler Warren 84 (12.0 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Tyler Warren over Isaiah Likely.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board