Tyler Warren or Dalton Kincaid: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Tyler Warren at 12.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 63rd highest figure of the 183 players the market prices.

The player markets price Dalton Kincaid at 10.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 81st highest figure of the 183 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tyler Warren: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 47th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Dalton Kincaid: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 69th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Tyler Warren has been on the field for 90 percent of IND snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 1 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 2.2 air yards.

In Week 2 against KC he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 6 of 7 targets for 21 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 3 against HOU he carried 1 time for 2 yards, caught 9 of 10 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against WAS he caught 5 of 5 targets for 41 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, Dalton Kincaid has been on the field for 66 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 31 third down targets, had 0 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 22 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 12.6 air yards.

In Week 2 against DET he caught 7 of 8 targets for 95 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 3 against LAC he caught 2 of 3 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against NE he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tyler Warren played 17 games and scored 188.5 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE4.

He caught 76 of 112 targets for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 19 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 10.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid played 12 games and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 4.1 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Warren was available for 5 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Tyler Warren scored 11.1 PPR points a game and Dalton Kincaid 10.5, 0.6 a game between them.

Tyler Warren finished TE4 that year and Dalton Kincaid TE20.

Tyler Warren had 63 more targets than Dalton Kincaid, 112 to 49.

Tyler Warren had 246 more receiving yards than Dalton Kincaid, 817 to 571.

This season Tyler Warren holds the bigger snap share, 90 percent against 66 percent.

This season Tyler Warren holds the bigger target share, 22 percent against 17 percent.

Byes and availability

Tyler Warren is off in Week 13 and Dalton Kincaid in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.