Should I start Jake Ferguson or Jameis Winston in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 5:46 PM ET. Week 8 answers post Tuesday.

Start Jameis Winston: 85 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Jake Ferguson's 68 percent of the snaps and 9 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Jameis Winston?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jameis Winston projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.8 a game over 10 games), Jake Ferguson 78 (7.8 a game over 10 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

Jake Ferguson

TE22 · DAL · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 2-4

Market-based projection: 6.3 pts a game

Jameis Winston

QB23 · NYG · bye 8

2026 vs pass yds line 2-3

Market-based projection: 14.6 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank: 131

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The gap

Board size314 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jake Ferguson, and the board ranks him 130th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jameis Winston, and the board ranks him 131st overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Jake Ferguson's market-based projection is 6.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 114th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

No season market is posted for Jameis Winston, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 68 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 56 third down targets, had 1 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 4.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against HOU he caught 3 of 4 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TB he caught 3 of 6 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Jameis Winston has been on the field for 88 percent of NYG snaps, dropped back 178 times and thrown 9.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 32 of 178 dropbacks and scrambled 5 times.

In Week 4 against ARI he completed 18 of 29 passes for 250 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

In Week 5 against WAS he completed 33 of 54 passes for 326 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 28 yards.

In Week 6 against NO he completed 14 of 26 passes for 152 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 2 times for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jameis Winston played 3 games and scored 45.3 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing QB46.

He threw for 567 yards on 66 attempts with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, and ran for 23 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 22.0 attempts a game at 8.6 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson was available for 14 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Jameis Winston scored 15.1 PPR points a game and Jake Ferguson 11.1, 4.0 a game between them.

Jake Ferguson finished TE5 and Jameis Winston QB46, which are two different ladders.

Jake Ferguson is a tight end and Jameis Winston a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Jake Ferguson is off in Week 14 and Jameis Winston in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Jameis Winston has no posted market, so one half of the evidence on this page exists for only one of them.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Jameis Winston?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jameis Winston projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.8 a game over 10 games), Jake Ferguson 78 (7.8 a game over 10 games).
Should I drop Jameis Winston for Jake Ferguson?
No. Keep Jameis Winston: he projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.8 a game over 10 games), Jake Ferguson 78 (7.8 a game over 10 games).