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Should I start Joe Burrow or Jake Ferguson in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 6:26 PM ET.

Start Joe Burrow: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Jake Ferguson's 68 percent of the snaps and 9 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Joe Burrow?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Joe Burrow projects 189 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 11 games), Jake Ferguson 78 (7.8 a game over 10 games).

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB5 · CIN · bye 6

2026 vs pass yds line 2-3

Overall rank
61

TE11 · DAL · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 2-4

Market-based projection
6.4 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Joe Burrow, and the board ranks him 61st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jake Ferguson, and the board ranks him 62nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Joe Burrow is 18.8 PPR points a game off 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Jake Ferguson's market-based projection is 6.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 63rd highest figure of the 184 players with a market-based projection.

Joe Burrow's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Joe Burrow has been on the field for 100 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 204 times and thrown 7.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 36 of 204 dropbacks and scrambled 6 times.

In Week 3 against PIT he completed 28 of 37 passes for 282 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 13 yards.

In Week 4 against JAX he completed 39 of 54 passes for 428 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 3 times for 6 yards.

In Week 5 against MIA he completed 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

Through Week 6, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 68 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 56 third down targets, had 1 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 4.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against HOU he caught 3 of 4 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TB he caught 3 of 6 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Joe Burrow played 8 games and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He threw for 1809 yards on 259 attempts with 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 32.4 attempts a game at 7.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson was available for 9 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Joe Burrow scored 17.4 PPR points a game and Jake Ferguson 11.1, 6.4 a game between them.

Joe Burrow finished QB29 and Jake Ferguson TE5, which are two different ladders.

Joe Burrow is a quarterback and Jake Ferguson a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Joe Burrow is off in Week 6 and Jake Ferguson in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Joe Burrow has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Joe Burrow?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Joe Burrow projects 189 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 11 games), Jake Ferguson 78 (7.8 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Joe Burrow for Jake Ferguson?

    No. Keep Joe Burrow: he projects 189 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 11 games), Jake Ferguson 78 (7.8 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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