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Should I start Travis Kelce or Jake Ferguson in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 7:16 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Jake Ferguson: Questionable to Out (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Jake Ferguson: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Travis Kelce: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Travis Kelce: 75 percent of the snaps and 20 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Jake Ferguson's 38 percent of the snaps and 4 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Travis Kelce?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Travis Kelce projects 104 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 9 games), Jake Ferguson 60 (7.5 a game over 8 games). Jake Ferguson is listed questionable.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

TE29 · KC · bye 5

2026 vs anytime td line 2-5

Market-based projection
11.1 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
204

TE30 · DAL · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 2-6

Market-based projection
6.3 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
205

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Travis Kelce, and the board ranks him 204th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jake Ferguson, and the board ranks him 205th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Travis Kelce is 1.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 9 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Jake Ferguson is 1.8 PPR points a game off 1 market across 4 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Travis Kelce's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Travis Kelce has been on the field for 78 percent of KC snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 58 third down targets, had 0 of its 22 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 6.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against LAC he caught 4 of 5 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against SEA he caught 4 of 8 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DEN he caught 5 of 7 targets for 67 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 58 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 69 third down targets, had 1 of its 31 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 50 two minute targets.

His 25 targets have averaged 5.0 air yards.

In Week 6 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against PHI he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against ARI he was not given the ball.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Travis Kelce played 17 games and scored 193.2 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing TE3.

He caught 76 of 108 targets for 851 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.4 targets a game, a 70 percent catch rate and 11.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Travis Kelce scored 11.4 PPR points a game and Jake Ferguson 11.1, 0.3 a game between them.

Travis Kelce finished TE3 that year and Jake Ferguson TE5.

Travis Kelce had 6 more targets than Jake Ferguson, 108 to 102.

Travis Kelce had 251 more receiving yards than Jake Ferguson, 851 to 600.

This season Travis Kelce holds the bigger snap share, 78 percent against 58 percent.

This season Travis Kelce holds the bigger target share, 19 percent against 9 percent.

Byes and availability

Travis Kelce is off in Week 5 and Jake Ferguson in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

Jake Ferguson is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Travis Kelce?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Travis Kelce projects 104 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 9 games), Jake Ferguson 60 (7.5 a game over 8 games). Jake Ferguson is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Travis Kelce for Jake Ferguson?

    No. Keep Travis Kelce: he projects 104 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 9 games), Jake Ferguson 60 (7.5 a game over 8 games). Jake Ferguson is listed questionable.

Should I drop Jake Ferguson?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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