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Start Jake Ferguson or Cade Otton? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 4:51 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Jake Ferguson: Questionable to Out (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Jake Ferguson: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Cade Otton over Jake Ferguson

Start

Cade Otton

TE · TB · at CHI

Market projects
8.4
recent weeks avg
CHI D vs TE
12.0
11th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Limited
30 of 100 at TE
Snap share
94%
Through Week 8
Target share
15%
Through Week 8
Sit

Jake Ferguson

TE · DAL · at IND · Questionable

Market projects
6.3
recent weeks avg
IND D vs TE
14.4
12th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
49 of 100 at TE
Snap share
58%
Through Week 8
Target share
9%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Cade Otton?

Not on these numbers alone. Jake Ferguson projects 60 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.5 a game over 8 games) and Cade Otton 62 (7.7 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Cade Otton over Jake Ferguson. Jake Ferguson is listed questionable.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Cade Otton over Jake Ferguson in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Cade Otton at 8.4 points and Jake Ferguson at 6.3, a gap of 2.2. No player market is posted for Cade Otton this week yet, so his 8.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (7.2, 9.5 and 8.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Jake Ferguson this week yet, so his 6.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (7.5, 6.1 and 5.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Cade Otton yet. His market-based projections were 7.2, 9.5 and 8.6 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 8.4, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Cade Otton is 0.2 touchdowns (9 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Jake Ferguson yet. His market-based projections were 7.6, 6.1 and 5.1 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 6.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Jake Ferguson is 0.3 touchdowns (8 market sources).

That puts Cade Otton 2.2 points ahead of Jake Ferguson on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Cade Otton and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CHI allowed 12.0 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 52 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against CHI.

Jake Ferguson and DAL visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 14.4 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 12th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 51 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against IND.

By points allowed to the position, Jake Ferguson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Cade Otton is not on the injury report.

Jake Ferguson is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Cade Otton played 94 percent of TB snaps, drew 15 percent of the targets, earned 12 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Cade Otton, Week 5 against DAL: 66 of 72 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 25 yards.

Cade Otton, Week 6 against PIT: 74 of 74 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Cade Otton, Week 7 against CAR: 56 of 63 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Cade Otton, Week 8 against ATL: 57 of 60 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 8, Jake Ferguson played 58 percent of DAL snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 5 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Jake Ferguson, Week 5 against TB: 50 of 60 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 6 against GB: 42 of 78 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 7 against PHI: 38 of 68 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 8 against ARI: 4 of 74 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Cade Otton played 16 games for TB and scored 122.2 PPR points, 7.6 a game, finishing TE22.

He caught 59 of 81 targets for 572 yards and 1 touchdown, with 5 red zone targets and 261 air yards.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Cade Otton?

    Not on these numbers alone. Jake Ferguson projects 60 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.5 a game over 8 games) and Cade Otton 62 (7.7 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Cade Otton over Jake Ferguson. Jake Ferguson is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Cade Otton for Jake Ferguson?

    Not on these numbers alone. Cade Otton projects 62 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.7 a game over 8 games) and Jake Ferguson 60 (7.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Cade Otton over Jake Ferguson. Jake Ferguson is listed questionable.

Should I drop Cade Otton?Should I drop Jake Ferguson?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board