Tyler Warren or Jake Ferguson: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Tyler Warren at 12.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 63rd highest figure of the 182 players the market prices.

The player markets price Jake Ferguson at 8.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 17 market sources. That is the 105th highest figure of the 182 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tyler Warren: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 48th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jake Ferguson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 118th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Tyler Warren has been on the field for 90 percent of IND snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 1 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 2.2 air yards.

In Week 2 against KC he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 6 of 7 targets for 21 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 3 against HOU he carried 1 time for 2 yards, caught 9 of 10 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against WAS he caught 5 of 5 targets for 41 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 69 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 38 third down targets, had 1 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 24 two minute targets.

His 15 targets have averaged 4.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against WAS he caught 4 of 4 targets for 43 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 3 against BAL he caught 3 of 5 targets for 23 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against HOU he caught 3 of 4 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tyler Warren played 17 games and scored 188.5 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE4.

He caught 76 of 112 targets for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 19 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 10.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 they scored the same 11.1 PPR points a game.

Tyler Warren finished TE4 that year and Jake Ferguson TE5.

Tyler Warren had 10 more targets than Jake Ferguson, 112 to 102.

Tyler Warren had 217 more receiving yards than Jake Ferguson, 817 to 600.

This season Tyler Warren holds the bigger snap share, 90 percent against 69 percent.

This season Tyler Warren holds the bigger target share, 22 percent against 10 percent.

Byes and availability

Tyler Warren is off in Week 13. No bye is listed for Jake Ferguson.

What would change the answer

4.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.