Zay Flowers or Jaylen Warren: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Zay Flowers at 16.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 7 books. That is the 30th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

The player markets price Jaylen Warren at 15.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 books. That is the 42nd highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Zay Flowers: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 21st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 41.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jaylen Warren: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 22nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 88.

This season so far

Through Week 1, Zay Flowers has been on the field for 29 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 6 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have averaged 15.2 air yards.

In Week 1 against IND he caught 5 of 6 targets for 150 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 2, Jaylen Warren has been on the field for 55 percent of PIT snaps, taken 51 percent of the carries, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 33 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 18 third down targets and seen 0 of its 9 two minute targets.

His 10 targets have come 1.7 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 1 against ATL he carried 10 times for 46 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against NE he carried 11 times for 43 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 34 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Zay Flowers played 17 games and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 14.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jaylen Warren played 16 games and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.

He carried 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 more yards.

That came to 13.2 carries a game at 4.5 yards a carry and 2.5 catches a game.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Zay Flowers was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Zay Flowers scored 14.3 PPR points a game and Jaylen Warren 13.6, 0.7 a game between them.

Zay Flowers finished WR7 and Jaylen Warren RB17, which are two different ladders.

Zay Flowers is a wide receiver and Jaylen Warren a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Zay Flowers is off in Week 13 and Jaylen Warren in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

Zay Flowers is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Jaylen Warren is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

0.9 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.