Start Jaylin Noel or Tez Johnson? Week 7

Our Week 7 call

Start Jaylin Noel over Tez Johnson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jaylin Noel at 6.6 points and Tez Johnson at 6.5, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.6 fantasy points for Jaylin Noel, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jaylin Noel is 28 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (12, 13 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.6 fantasy points for Tez Johnson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tez Johnson is 29 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (13, 13 and 13 market sources).

That puts Jaylin Noel 0.1 points ahead of Tez Johnson on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jaylin Noel and HOU host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 31.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 132 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against NYG.

Tez Johnson and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 29.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 148 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against CAR.

By points allowed to the position, Jaylin Noel has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jaylin Noel is not on the injury report.

Tez Johnson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jaylin Noel played 46 percent of HOU snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 11 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylin Noel, Week 3 against IND: 14 of 54 snaps, 1 carry for 8 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Jaylin Noel, Week 4 against DAL: 34 of 55 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 85 yards.

Jaylin Noel, Week 5 against TEN: 30 of 66 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 41 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jaylin Noel, Week 6 against JAX: 31 of 63 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 107 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Tez Johnson played 34 percent of TB snaps, drew 7 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Tez Johnson, Week 3 against MIN: 16 of 69 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 8 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 4 against GB: 35 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 5 against DAL: 28 of 72 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 64 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 6 against PIT: 25 of 74 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaylin Noel played 17 games for HOU and scored 68.4 PPR points, 4.0 a game, finishing WR91.

He caught 26 of 35 targets for 292 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets and 193 air yards.

He was on the field for 27 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tez Johnson played 16 games for TB and scored 92.4 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR67.

He caught 28 of 44 targets for 322 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 212 air yards.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

• Start Jaylin Noel over Adonai Mitchell.
• Start Jaylin Noel over Brycen Tremayne.
• Start Chris Godwin Jr. over Jaylin Noel.
• Start Tez Johnson over Adonai Mitchell.
• Start Tez Johnson over Bo Melton.
• Start Tez Johnson over Brycen Tremayne.