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Should I start Jeremy McNichols or Kaelon Black in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 6:11 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Jeremy McNichols: Questionable to IR (Foot) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Jeremy McNichols: Listed Questionable (Undisclosed) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Kaelon Black: 30 percent of the snaps and 35 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Jeremy McNichols's 19 percent of the snaps and 24 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB50 · WAS · bye 7

2025 vs anytime td line 1-16

Market-based projection
5.1 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
150

RB52 · SF · bye 8

Overall rank
155

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jeremy McNichols, and the board ranks him 150th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kaelon Black, and the board ranks him 155th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Jeremy McNichols is 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Kaelon Black is 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Jeremy McNichols's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Jeremy McNichols has been on the field for 19 percent of WAS snaps, taken 24 percent of the carries, drawn 2 percent of the targets and had 21 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 16 third down targets, had 1 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 7 two minute targets.

His 1 target have averaged 1.0 air yards.

In Week 6 against SF he carried 5 times for 13 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against PHI he carried 5 times for 21 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 7 yards and did not score.

Through Week 7, Kaelon Black has been on the field for 30 percent of SF snaps, taken 31 percent of the carries, drawn 3 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 3 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have come 2.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 5 against SEA he carried 6 times for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against WAS he carried 8 times for 34 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 3 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against ATL he carried 12 times for 63 yards, caught 1 of 3 targets for -4 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jeremy McNichols played 17 games and scored 72.7 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB58.

He carried 44 times for 221 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 25 of 31 targets for 196 more yards.

That came to 2.6 carries a game at 5.0 yards a carry and 1-2 catches a game.

He was on the field for 33 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Kaelon Black is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Kaelon Black holds the bigger snap share, 30 percent against 19 percent.

This season Kaelon Black holds the bigger share of the carries, 31 percent against 24 percent.

Byes and availability

Jeremy McNichols is off in Week 7 and Kaelon Black in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

Jeremy McNichols is listed as ir on the injury report.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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