Should I start Joe Burrow or Rashee Rice in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Joe Burrow's market-based projection is 22.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 3rd highest figure of the 217 players with a market-based projection.

Rashee Rice's market-based projection is 13.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 53rd highest figure of the 217 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Joe Burrow, and the board ranks him 32nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Rashee Rice, and the board ranks him 34th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Joe Burrow has been on the field for 99 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 321 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 57 of 321 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 7 against BAL he completed 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

In Week 8 against TEN he completed 38 of 48 passes for 462 yards, threw 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions and ran 3 times for 10 yards.

In Week 9 against ATL he completed 24 of 29 passes for 271 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 8 yards.

Through Week 9, Rashee Rice has been on the field for 61 percent of KC snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 0 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 23 two minute targets.

His 32 targets have averaged 4.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against LV he was not given the ball.

In Week 8 against DEN he caught 7 of 8 targets for 53 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against NYJ he caught 5 of 7 targets for 49 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Joe Burrow played 8 games and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He threw for 1809 yards on 259 attempts with 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 32.4 attempts a game at 7.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Rashee Rice played 8 games and scored 150.1 PPR points, 18.8 a game, finishing WR40.

He caught 53 of 78 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 18 red zone targets.

That came to 9.8 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 10.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 73 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 8 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Rashee Rice scored 18.8 PPR points a game and Joe Burrow 17.4, 1.3 a game between them.

Joe Burrow finished QB29 and Rashee Rice WR40, which are two different ladders.

Joe Burrow is a quarterback and Rashee Rice a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Joe Burrow is off in Week 6 and Rashee Rice in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

8.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.