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Should I start Ollie Gordon II or Josh Downs in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 11:16 PM ET.

Start Josh Downs: 83 percent of the snaps and 16 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Ollie Gordon II's 71 percent of the snaps and 53 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Ollie Gordon II for Josh Downs?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 10 games), Ollie Gordon II 110 (10.0 a game over 11 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB21 · MIA · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 3-2

Market-based projection
9.7 pts a game

WR72 · IND · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 0-6

Market-based projection
12.6 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
198

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The gap

  • Board size315 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ollie Gordon II, and the board ranks him 47th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Downs, and the board ranks him 198th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Ollie Gordon II's market-based projection is 9.7 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 86th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Josh Downs is 1.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 13 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Josh Downs's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Ollie Gordon II has been on the field for 48 percent of MIA snaps, taken 36 percent of the carries, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 38 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 5 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have come 3.2 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against KC he carried 17 times for 41 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 14 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against MIN he carried 9 times for 100 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 0 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against CIN he carried 18 times for 88 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Josh Downs has been on the field for 81 percent of IND snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 0 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 10.7 air yards.

In Week 4 against WAS he caught 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against PIT he caught 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against TEN he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Ollie Gordon II played 17 games and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He carried 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 more yards.

That came to 4.1 carries a game at 2.8 yards a carry and 0.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Josh Downs played 16 games and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ollie Gordon II was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Josh Downs scored 8.5 PPR points a game and Ollie Gordon II 3.2, 5.3 a game between them.

Ollie Gordon II finished RB68 and Josh Downs WR44, which are two different ladders.

Ollie Gordon II is a running back and Josh Downs a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Ollie Gordon II is off in Week 6 and Josh Downs in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Josh Downs has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Ollie Gordon II for Josh Downs?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 10 games), Ollie Gordon II 110 (10.0 a game over 11 games).

  • Should I drop Josh Downs for Ollie Gordon II?

    No. Keep Josh Downs: he projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 10 games), Ollie Gordon II 110 (10.0 a game over 11 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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