Should I start Luther Burden III or Ollie Gordon II in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Luther Burden III's market-based projection is 12.7 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 63rd highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Ollie Gordon II's market-based projection is 9.7 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 86th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Luther Burden III, and the board ranks him 46th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 39.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ollie Gordon II, and the board ranks him 47th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 6, Luther Burden III has been on the field for 60 percent of CHI snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 51 third down targets, had 2 of its 31 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 43 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 4 against NYJ he carried 1 time for 11 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against GB he carried 4 times for 2 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against ATL he caught 8 of 8 targets for 95 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Ollie Gordon II has been on the field for 48 percent of MIA snaps, taken 36 percent of the carries, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 38 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 5 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have come 3.2 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against KC he carried 17 times for 41 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 14 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against MIN he carried 9 times for 100 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 0 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against CIN he carried 18 times for 88 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Luther Burden III played 15 games and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 78 percent catch rate and 13.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Ollie Gordon II played 17 games and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He carried 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 more yards.

That came to 4.1 carries a game at 2.8 yards a carry and 0.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ollie Gordon II was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Luther Burden III scored 8.5 PPR points a game and Ollie Gordon II 3.2, 5.3 a game between them.

Luther Burden III finished WR48 and Ollie Gordon II RB68, which are two different ladders.

Luther Burden III is a wide receiver and Ollie Gordon II a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Luther Burden III is off in Week 10 and Ollie Gordon II in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.9 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.