Should I start Kaelon Black or Justice Hill in Week 10?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kaelon Black, and the board ranks him 170th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justice Hill, and the board ranks him 182nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Kaelon Black is 2.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 2.2 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Kaelon Black's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Kaelon Black has been on the field for 29 percent of SF snaps, taken 30 percent of the carries, drawn 3 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 57 third down targets, had 3 of its 28 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have come 2.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against WAS he carried 8 times for 34 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 3 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against ATL he carried 12 times for 63 yards, caught 1 of 3 targets for -4 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against LV he carried 11 times for 70 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Justice Hill has been on the field for 44 percent of BAL snaps, taken 13 percent of the carries, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 72 third down targets, had 0 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 49 two minute targets.

His 28 targets have come 1.6 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BUF he carried 3 times for 15 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against JAX he carried 9 times for 85 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

Kaelon Black is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Justice Hill played 10 games and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 more yards.

That came to 1.8 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Justice Hill holds the bigger snap share, 44 percent against 29 percent.

This season Kaelon Black holds the bigger share of the carries, 30 percent against 13 percent.

Byes and availability

Kaelon Black is off in Week 8 and Justice Hill in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.