Skip to main content
parlae.io
Sign in

Start Justice Hill or Keaton Mitchell? Week 10

Updated Nov 11, 4:11 PM ET.

Start Keaton Mitchell over Justice Hill

Mitchell projects lower, 5.7 to 6.3, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 190 for Mitchell, 206 for Hill.

Start

Keaton Mitchell

RB · LAC · at BAL

Market projects
5.7
fantasy pts
BAL D vs RB
19.9
11th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
25 of 100 at RB
Snap share
31%
Through Week 9
Target share
9%
Through Week 9
Sit

Justice Hill

RB · BAL · vs LAC

Market projects
6.3
fantasy pts
LAC D vs RB
22.5
11th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
57 of 100 at RB
Snap share
44%
Through Week 9
Target share
12%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for Justice Hill?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Justice Hill projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.0 a game over 7 games), Keaton Mitchell 22 (2.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Keaton Mitchell over Justice Hill. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

SleeperESPNYahoo

Or get it by email

Tuesday 7am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

Our Week 10 call

Start Keaton Mitchell over Justice Hill in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Keaton Mitchell at 5.7 points and Justice Hill at 6.3, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Keaton Mitchell still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 190 against 206, and that outweighs a gap this size.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.3 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 13 rushing yards, 12 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (8, 8, 6 and 7 market sources).

Player markets imply 5.7 fantasy points for Keaton Mitchell, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Keaton Mitchell is 10 rushing yards, 12 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (3, 5, 5 and 7 market sources).

That puts Justice Hill 0.6 points ahead of Keaton Mitchell on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Justice Hill and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 22.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and a touchdown a game against LAC and caught passes for 22 more yards.

Keaton Mitchell and LAC visit BAL on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

BAL allowed 19.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 9 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 82 yards and a touchdown a game against BAL and caught passes for 17 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Keaton Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Justice Hill played 44 percent of BAL snaps, took 13 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 7 against CIN: 31 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 8 against BUF: 25 of 51 snaps, 3 carries for 15 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 20 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 9 against JAX: 29 of 56 snaps, 9 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Keaton Mitchell played 31 percent of LAC snaps, took 21 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 5 against DEN: 23 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 11 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 18 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 6 against KC: 17 of 68 snaps, 2 carries for 4 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 8 against LAR: 19 of 61 snaps, 4 carries for 6 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 9 against HOU: 18 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 33 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 34 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for Justice Hill?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Justice Hill projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.0 a game over 7 games), Keaton Mitchell 22 (2.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Keaton Mitchell over Justice Hill. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Justice Hill for Keaton Mitchell?

    No. Keep Justice Hill: he projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.0 a game over 7 games), Keaton Mitchell 22 (2.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Keaton Mitchell over Justice Hill.

Should I drop Keaton Mitchell?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board