Should I start Mike Gesicki or Justice Hill in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Mike Gesicki's market-based projection is 7.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 114th highest figure of the 232 players with a market-based projection.

Justice Hill's market-based projection is 6.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 119th highest figure of the 232 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Mike Gesicki, and the board ranks him 112th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justice Hill, and the board ranks him 114th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Mike Gesicki has been on the field for 48 percent of CIN snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 3 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 43 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 11.1 air yards.

In Week 5 against MIA he caught 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 7 against BAL he caught 1 of 1 target for 6 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against TEN he caught 4 of 6 targets for 76 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Justice Hill has been on the field for 43 percent of BAL snaps, taken 11 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 66 third down targets, had 0 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 25 targets have come 1.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 0 times for 0 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BUF he carried 3 times for 15 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Mike Gesicki played 13 games and scored 70.7 PPR points, 5.4 a game, finishing TE41.

He caught 28 of 42 targets for 307 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 3.2 targets a game, a 67 percent catch rate and 11.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 38 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justice Hill played 10 games and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 more yards.

That came to 1.8 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Mike Gesicki was available for 3 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Justice Hill scored 6.5 PPR points a game and Mike Gesicki 5.4, 1.1 a game between them.

Mike Gesicki finished TE41 and Justice Hill RB60, which are two different ladders.

Mike Gesicki is a tight end and Justice Hill a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Mike Gesicki is off in Week 6 and Justice Hill in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.