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Should I start Justice Hill or Ray Davis in Week 8?

Updated Oct 27, 2:26 PM ET.

Start Justice Hill: 45 percent of the snaps and 8 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Ray Davis's 12 percent of the snaps and 5 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB51 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs rush yds line 3-4

Market-based projection
4.6 pts a game Wk 7 price
Overall rank
193

RB52 · BUF · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 0-6

Overall rank
194

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The gap

  • Board size293 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justice Hill, and the board ranks him 193rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ray Davis, and the board ranks him 194th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 0.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Ray Davis is 0.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Justice Hill's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 7, Justice Hill has been on the field for 43 percent of BAL snaps, taken 10 percent of the carries, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 1 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 56 third down targets, had 0 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 44 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have come 1.2 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 5 against ATL he carried 4 times for 73 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 5 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 0 times for 0 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Ray Davis has been on the field for 11 percent of BUF snaps, taken 3 percent of the carries, drawn 2 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 42 third down targets, had 0 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 3 targets have come 4.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against NE he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 4 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LAR he carried 2 times for 2 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 31 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LV he carried 1 time for 4 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 5 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Justice Hill played 10 games and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 more yards.

That came to 1.8 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Ray Davis played 17 games and scored 64.1 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB61.

He carried 58 times for 275 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 10 of 13 targets for 86 more yards.

That came to 3.4 carries a game at 4.7 yards a carry and 0.6 catches a game.

He was on the field for 11 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ray Davis was available for 7 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Justice Hill scored 6.5 PPR points a game and Ray Davis 3.8, 2.7 a game between them.

Justice Hill finished RB60 that year and Ray Davis RB61.

Ray Davis had 40 more carries than Justice Hill, 58 to 18.

Justice Hill had 11 more catches than Ray Davis, 21 to 10.

This season Justice Hill holds the bigger snap share, 43 percent against 11 percent.

This season Justice Hill holds the bigger share of the carries, 10 percent against 3 percent.

Byes and availability

Justice Hill is off in Week 13 and Ray Davis in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

Should I drop Justice Hill?

Both players in full

Week 8 on the board

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