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Should I start Ryan Flournoy or Justin Jefferson in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 1:21 PM ET.

Start Justin Jefferson: 92 percent of the snaps and 28 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Ryan Flournoy's 81 percent of the snaps and 13 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Ryan Flournoy for Justin Jefferson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Justin Jefferson projects 124 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.5 a game over 8 games), Ryan Flournoy 57 (8.2 a game over 7 games).

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR25 · DAL · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 2-7

Market-based projection
13.2 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
67

WR26 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 3-4

Market-based projection
17.8 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
69

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ryan Flournoy, and the board ranks him 67th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Jefferson, and the board ranks him 69th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 4; 2QB: ADP 15.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Ryan Flournoy is 3.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 5 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Justin Jefferson is 2.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Ryan Flournoy's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Ryan Flournoy has been on the field for 77 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 12 of the offence's 82 third down targets, had 1 of its 32 chances inside the five and seen 13 of its 55 two minute targets.

His 47 targets have averaged 7.7 air yards.

In Week 7 against PHI he caught 4 of 4 targets for 70 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against ARI he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 38 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against IND he caught 2 of 3 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Justin Jefferson has been on the field for 80 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 29 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 21 of the offence's 63 third down targets, had 1 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 51 targets have averaged 10.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against IND he caught 4 of 7 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DET he caught 5 of 9 targets for 33 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against BUF he caught 3 of 11 targets for 58 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Ryan Flournoy played 16 games and scored 114.0 PPR points, 7.1 a game, finishing WR57.

He caught 40 of 56 targets for 475 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 3-4 targets a game, a 71 percent catch rate and 11.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 41 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justin Jefferson played 17 games and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Justin Jefferson was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Justin Jefferson scored 11.9 PPR points a game and Ryan Flournoy 7.1, 4.7 a game between them.

Ryan Flournoy finished WR57 that year and Justin Jefferson WR21.

Justin Jefferson had 85 more targets than Ryan Flournoy, 141 to 56.

Justin Jefferson had 573 more receiving yards than Ryan Flournoy, 1048 to 475.

This season Justin Jefferson holds the bigger snap share, 80 percent against 77 percent.

This season Justin Jefferson holds the bigger target share, 29 percent against 14 percent.

Byes and availability

Ryan Flournoy is off in Week 14 and Justin Jefferson in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Ryan Flournoy for Justin Jefferson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Justin Jefferson projects 124 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.5 a game over 8 games), Ryan Flournoy 57 (8.2 a game over 7 games).

  • Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Ryan Flournoy?

    No. Keep Justin Jefferson: he projects 124 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.5 a game over 8 games), Ryan Flournoy 57 (8.2 a game over 7 games).

Should I drop Ryan Flournoy?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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