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Should I start Tony Pollard or Justin Jefferson in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 8:21 AM ET.

Start Justin Jefferson: 67 percent of the snaps and 21 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Tony Pollard's 51 percent of the snaps and 72 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Tony Pollard?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tony Pollard projects 99 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.9 a game over 10 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games).

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB32 · TEN · bye 9

2026 vs carries line 4-2

Market-based projection
11.2 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
99

WR43 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 2-2

Overall rank
101

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The gap

  • Board size298 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tony Pollard, and the board ranks him 99th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Jefferson, and the board ranks him 101st overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 4; 2QB: ADP 15.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Tony Pollard is 3.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Justin Jefferson is 3.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Tony Pollard's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 6, Tony Pollard has been on the field for 52 percent of TEN snaps, taken 67 percent of the carries, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 41 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 48 third down targets, had 6 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 1.5 air yards.

In Week 4 against BAL he carried 16 times for 48 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 2 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against HOU he carried 14 times for 52 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against IND he carried 19 times for 76 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Justin Jefferson has been on the field for 74 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 2 against CHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against TB he caught 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NO he carried 1 time for -11 yards, caught 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tony Pollard played 17 games and scored 185.8 PPR points, 10.9 a game, finishing RB23.

He carried 242 times for 1082 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 41 targets for 206 more yards.

That came to 14.2 carries a game at 5 yards a carry and 1.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justin Jefferson played 17 games and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Justin Jefferson scored 11.9 PPR points a game and Tony Pollard 10.9, 0.9 a game between them.

Tony Pollard finished RB23 and Justin Jefferson WR21, which are two different ladders.

Tony Pollard is a running back and Justin Jefferson a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Tony Pollard is off in Week 9 and Justin Jefferson in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Tony Pollard?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Tony Pollard projects 99 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.9 a game over 10 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games).

  • Should I drop Tony Pollard for Justin Jefferson?

    No. Keep Tony Pollard: he projects 99 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.9 a game over 10 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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