Should I start Juwan Johnson or Michael Mayer in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Juwan Johnson's market-based projection is 8.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 87th highest figure of the 201 players with a market-based projection.

Michael Mayer's market-based projection is 7.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 91st highest figure of the 201 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Juwan Johnson, and the board ranks him 91st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Mayer, and the board ranks him 105th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Juwan Johnson has been on the field for 68 percent of NO snaps, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 12 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 2 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 11 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 34 targets have averaged 5.1 air yards.

In Week 4 against ATL he caught 6 of 8 targets for 59 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against MIN he caught 4 of 5 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYG he caught 0 of 2 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Michael Mayer has been on the field for 81 percent of LV snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 1 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 36 two minute targets.

His 34 targets have averaged 4.5 air yards.

In Week 4 against KC he caught 8 of 10 targets for 82 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NE he caught 1 of 1 target for 2 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against BUF he caught 7 of 9 targets for 95 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Juwan Johnson played 17 games and scored 179.9 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing TE8.

He caught 77 of 102 targets for 889 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 12 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Mayer played 13 games and scored 73.8 PPR points, 5.7 a game, finishing TE38.

He caught 35 of 50 targets for 328 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 70 percent catch rate and 9.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Juwan Johnson was available for 4 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Juwan Johnson scored 10.6 PPR points a game and Michael Mayer 5.7, 4.9 a game between them.

Juwan Johnson finished TE8 that year and Michael Mayer TE38.

Juwan Johnson had 52 more targets than Michael Mayer, 102 to 50.

Juwan Johnson had 561 more receiving yards than Michael Mayer, 889 to 328.

This season Michael Mayer holds the bigger snap share, 81 percent against 68 percent.

This season Michael Mayer holds the bigger target share, 16 percent against 15 percent.

Byes and availability

Juwan Johnson is off in Week 8 and Michael Mayer in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.