Should I start T.J. Hockenson or Kaelon Black in Week 10?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on T.J. Hockenson, and the board ranks him 68th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kaelon Black, and the board ranks him 70th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

T.J. Hockenson's market-based projection is 10.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 66th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Kaelon Black is 7.5 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 10 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Kaelon Black's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, T.J. Hockenson has been on the field for 65 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 75 third down targets, had 1 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 44 targets have averaged 7.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against IND he caught 4 of 5 targets for 35 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against DET he caught 4 of 5 targets for 58 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against BUF he caught 4 of 7 targets for 33 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Kaelon Black has been on the field for 29 percent of SF snaps, taken 30 percent of the carries, drawn 3 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 57 third down targets, had 3 of its 28 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have come 2.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against WAS he carried 8 times for 34 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 3 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against ATL he carried 12 times for 63 yards, caught 1 of 3 targets for -4 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against LV he carried 11 times for 70 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 T.J. Hockenson played 15 games and scored 112.8 PPR points, 7.5 a game, finishing TE26.

He caught 51 of 66 targets for 438 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 4.4 targets a game, a 77 percent catch rate and 8.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Kaelon Black is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Side by side

T.J. Hockenson is a tight end and Kaelon Black a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

T.J. Hockenson is off in Week 6 and Kaelon Black in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Kaelon Black has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.