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Should I start Trevor Etienne or Kaelon Black in Week 9?

Updated Nov 5, 11:11 AM ET.

Start Kaelon Black: 30 percent of the snaps and 35 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Trevor Etienne's 12 percent of the snaps and 11 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB52 · CAR · bye unlisted

2025 vs anytime td line 0-17

Overall rank
179

RB54 · SF · bye 8

Overall rank
182

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The gap

  • Board size318 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Trevor Etienne, and the board ranks him 179th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kaelon Black, and the board ranks him 182nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Trevor Etienne is 1.7 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 13 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Kaelon Black is 1.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 11 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Trevor Etienne's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Trevor Etienne has been on the field for 12 percent of CAR snaps, taken 11 percent of the carries, drawn 2 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 21 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 9 two minute targets.

His 2 targets have averaged 0.5 air yards.

In Week 6 against PHI he carried 1 time for -1 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against TB he carried 6 times for 8 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 17 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against GB he carried 1 time for 1 yards and did not score.

Through Week 7, Kaelon Black has been on the field for 30 percent of SF snaps, taken 31 percent of the carries, drawn 3 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 3 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have come 2.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 5 against SEA he carried 6 times for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against WAS he carried 8 times for 34 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 3 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against ATL he carried 12 times for 63 yards, caught 1 of 3 targets for -4 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Trevor Etienne played 17 games and scored 11.7 PPR points, 0.7 a game, finishing RB104.

He carried 20 times for 94 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 3 targets for 13 more yards.

That came to 1.2 carries a game at 4.7 yards a carry and 0.2 catches a game.

He was on the field for 6 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Kaelon Black is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Kaelon Black holds the bigger snap share, 30 percent against 12 percent.

This season Kaelon Black holds the bigger share of the carries, 31 percent against 11 percent.

Byes and availability

Kaelon Black is off in Week 8. No bye is listed for Trevor Etienne.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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