Should I start Luther Burden III or MarShawn Lloyd in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Luther Burden III's market-based projection is 12.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 67th highest figure of the 204 players with a market-based projection.

MarShawn Lloyd's market-based projection is 11.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 69th highest figure of the 204 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Luther Burden III: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 51st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 39.

Drafters have formed no consensus on MarShawn Lloyd: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 50th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 48.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Luther Burden III has been on the field for 64 percent of CHI snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 2 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 9.0 air yards.

In Week 3 against PHI he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 7 of 11 targets for 61 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against NYJ he carried 1 time for 11 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against GB he carried 4 times for 2 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, MarShawn Lloyd has been on the field for 39 percent of GB snaps, taken 43 percent of the carries, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 3 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have come 0.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against ATL he carried 4 times for 11 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against TB he carried 7 times for 13 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 36 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against CHI he carried 10 times for 31 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 6 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Luther Burden III played 15 games and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 78 percent catch rate and 13.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

The season feed carries no line for MarShawn Lloyd in the last completed season.

Side by side

Luther Burden III is a wide receiver and MarShawn Lloyd a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Luther Burden III is off in Week 10 and MarShawn Lloyd in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.