Matthew Stafford or Michael Penix Jr.: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Matthew Stafford at 20.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 market sources. That is the 7th highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

The player markets price Michael Penix Jr. at 14.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 47th highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Matthew Stafford: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 38th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Penix Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 123rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Matthew Stafford has been on the field for 97 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 169 times and thrown 9.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 28 of 169 dropbacks and scrambled 4 times.

In Week 2 against NYG he completed 22 of 30 passes for 327 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

In Week 3 against DEN he completed 30 of 53 passes for 390 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 2 times for 13 yards.

In Week 4 against PHI he completed 32 of 51 passes for 317 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 2 times for 11 yards.

Through Week 4, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 100 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 46 times and thrown 6.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 2 of 46 dropbacks.

In Week 3 against GB he completed 18 of 25 passes for 256 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

In Week 4 against NO he completed 15 of 20 passes for 223 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Matthew Stafford played 17 games and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He threw for 4707 yards on 597 attempts with 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 35.1 attempts a game at 7.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Matthew Stafford was available for 8 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Matthew Stafford scored 21.1 PPR points a game and Michael Penix Jr. 13.7, 7.4 a game between them.

Matthew Stafford finished QB3 that year and Michael Penix Jr. QB33.

Matthew Stafford had 321 more pass attempts than Michael Penix Jr., 597 to 276.

Matthew Stafford had 2725 more passing yards than Michael Penix Jr., 4707 to 1982.

This season Michael Penix Jr. holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 97 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 11, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

6.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.