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Should I start Ollie Gordon II or Michael Penix Jr. in Week 10?

Updated Nov 11, 2:26 AM ET.

Start Michael Penix Jr.: 99 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Ollie Gordon II's 79 percent of the snaps and 72 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB35 · MIA · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 4-4

Market-based projection
13.1 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
111

QB20 · ATL · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 2-5

Market-based projection
15.0 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size313 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ollie Gordon II, and the board ranks him 111th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Penix Jr., and the board ranks him 112th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Ollie Gordon II is 4.8 PPR points a game off 1 market across 3 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Michael Penix Jr.'s market-based projection is 15.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 36th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Ollie Gordon II's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Ollie Gordon II has been on the field for 79 percent of MIA snaps, taken 72 percent of the carries, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 57 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 23 third down targets, had 5 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have come 2.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against NYJ he carried 25 times for 103 yards, caught 1 of 3 targets for 0 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against NE he carried 19 times for 69 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against DET he carried 16 times for 55 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 9 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 93 times and thrown 7.1 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 0 of 93 dropbacks and scrambled 5 times.

In Week 7 against SF he completed 25 of 33 passes for 213 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 2 yards.

In Week 8 against TB he completed 8 of 24 passes for 125 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions and ran 5 times for 11 yards.

In Week 9 against CIN he completed 20 of 31 passes for 162 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 50 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Ollie Gordon II played 17 games and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He carried 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 more yards.

That came to 4.1 carries a game at 2.8 yards a carry and 0.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ollie Gordon II was available for 8 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. scored 13.7 PPR points a game and Ollie Gordon II 3.2, 10.5 a game between them.

Ollie Gordon II finished RB68 and Michael Penix Jr. QB33, which are two different ladders.

Ollie Gordon II is a running back and Michael Penix Jr. a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Ollie Gordon II is off in Week 6 and Michael Penix Jr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Ollie Gordon II has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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