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Should I start Travis Kelce or Nate Boerkircher in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 8:16 AM ET.

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  • : Travis Kelce: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Travis Kelce: 75 percent of the snaps and 20 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Nate Boerkircher's 51 percent of the snaps and 5 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE24 · KC · bye 5

2026 vs anytime td line 2-5

Market-based projection
11.1 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
197

TE25 · JAX · bye unlisted

Market-based projection
2.2 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Travis Kelce, and the board ranks him 197th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Nate Boerkircher, and the board ranks him 201st overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Travis Kelce is 2.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 9 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Nate Boerkircher's market-based projection is 2.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 151st highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Travis Kelce's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Travis Kelce has been on the field for 78 percent of KC snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 58 third down targets, had 0 of its 22 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 6.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against LAC he caught 4 of 5 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against SEA he caught 4 of 8 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DEN he caught 5 of 7 targets for 67 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Nate Boerkircher has been on the field for 48 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 48 third down targets, had 1 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 23 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 6.6 air yards.

In Week 5 against PHI he caught 2 of 2 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against HOU he caught 2 of 2 targets for 8 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against IND he caught 1 of 1 target for 31 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Travis Kelce played 17 games and scored 193.2 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing TE3.

He caught 76 of 108 targets for 851 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.4 targets a game, a 70 percent catch rate and 11.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Nate Boerkircher is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Travis Kelce holds the bigger snap share, 78 percent against 48 percent.

This season Travis Kelce holds the bigger target share, 19 percent against 5 percent.

Byes and availability

Travis Kelce is off in Week 5. No bye is listed for Nate Boerkircher.

What would change the answer

Travis Kelce has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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