Pat Freiermuth or Terrance Ferguson: who should I start?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Pat Freiermuth at 7.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 books. That is the 130th highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

The player markets price Terrance Ferguson at 5.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 books. That is the 165th highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Pat Freiermuth: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 116th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 148.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Terrance Ferguson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 145th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Pat Freiermuth has been on the field for 73 percent of PIT snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 40 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 10 third down targets and seen 1 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have averaged 4.2 air yards.

In Week 1 against ATL he caught 5 of 5 targets for 46 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 1, Terrance Ferguson has been on the field for 51 percent of LAR snaps, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 7 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 1 target have averaged 24.0 air yards.

In Week 1 against SF he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Pat Freiermuth played 17 games and scored 113.6 PPR points, 6.7 a game, finishing TE25.

He caught 41 of 54 targets for 486 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 3.2 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 11.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Terrance Ferguson played 14 games and scored 52.1 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing TE52.

He caught 11 of 25 targets for 231 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets.

That came to 1.8 targets a game, a 44 percent catch rate and 21.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Pat Freiermuth was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Pat Freiermuth scored 6.7 PPR points a game and Terrance Ferguson 3.7, 3.0 a game between them.

Pat Freiermuth finished TE25 that year and Terrance Ferguson TE52.

Pat Freiermuth had 29 more targets than Terrance Ferguson, 54 to 25.

Pat Freiermuth had 255 more receiving yards than Terrance Ferguson, 486 to 231.

This season Pat Freiermuth holds the bigger snap share, 73 percent against 51 percent.

This season Pat Freiermuth holds the bigger target share, 14 percent against 4 percent.

Byes and availability

Pat Freiermuth is off in Week 9 and Terrance Ferguson in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.6 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.