Should I start Patrick Mahomes or Tyrone Tracy Jr. in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Patrick Mahomes's market-based projection is 15.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 31st highest figure of the 216 players with a market-based projection.

Tyrone Tracy Jr.'s market-based projection is 6.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 129th highest figure of the 216 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Patrick Mahomes, and the board ranks him 99th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyrone Tracy Jr., and the board ranks him 100th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 174 times and thrown 6.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 24 of 174 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 3 against MIA he completed 20 of 24 passes for 246 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 4 against LV he completed 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 6 against LAC he completed 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 19 yards.

Through Week 6, Tyrone Tracy Jr. has been on the field for 15 percent of NYG snaps, taken 8 percent of the carries, drawn 3 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 55 third down targets, had 1 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 27 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have averaged 1.7 air yards.

In Week 4 against ARI he carried 1 time for -1 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against WAS he carried 3 times for 6 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NO he carried 6 times for 18 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 27 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tyrone Tracy Jr. played 15 games and scored 160.8 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing RB28.

He carried 176 times for 740 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 48 targets for 288 more yards.

That came to 11.7 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tyrone Tracy Jr. was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Tyrone Tracy Jr. 10.7, 10.5 a game between them.

Patrick Mahomes finished QB11 and Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB28, which are two different ladders.

Patrick Mahomes is a quarterback and Tyrone Tracy Jr. a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Patrick Mahomes is off in Week 5 and Tyrone Tracy Jr. in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

9.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.