Should I start Tetairoa McMillan or Rashee Rice in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Tetairoa McMillan's market-based projection is 13.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 44th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Rashee Rice's market-based projection is 13.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 45th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tetairoa McMillan, and the board ranks him 25th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Rashee Rice, and the board ranks him 27th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 83 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 4 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 71 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 7 against TB he caught 4 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against GB he caught 6 of 11 targets for 58 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against DEN he caught 4 of 6 targets for 56 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Rashee Rice has been on the field for 61 percent of KC snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 0 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 23 two minute targets.

His 32 targets have averaged 4.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against LV he was not given the ball.

In Week 8 against DEN he caught 7 of 8 targets for 53 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against NYJ he caught 5 of 7 targets for 49 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 15 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Rashee Rice played 8 games and scored 150.1 PPR points, 18.8 a game, finishing WR40.

He caught 53 of 78 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 18 red zone targets.

That came to 9.8 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 10.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 73 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan was available for 9 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Rashee Rice scored 18.8 PPR points a game and Tetairoa McMillan 12.4, 6.3 a game between them.

Tetairoa McMillan finished WR16 that year and Rashee Rice WR40.

Tetairoa McMillan had 44 more targets than Rashee Rice, 122 to 78.

Tetairoa McMillan had 443 more receiving yards than Rashee Rice, 1014 to 571.

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger snap share, 83 percent against 61 percent.

This season Tetairoa McMillan holds the bigger target share, 25 percent against 17 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 5, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

0.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.