Should I start Breece Hall or Tetairoa McMillan in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Breece Hall's market-based projection is 14.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 40th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Tetairoa McMillan's market-based projection is 13.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 44th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Breece Hall, and the board ranks him 26th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tetairoa McMillan, and the board ranks him 25th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Breece Hall has been on the field for 54 percent of NYJ snaps, taken 62 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 38 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 4 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 20 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 2 against GB he carried 16 times for 29 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against DET he carried 13 times for 32 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 23 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against KC he carried 15 times for 61 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 83 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 4 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 71 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 7 against TB he caught 4 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against GB he caught 6 of 11 targets for 58 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against DEN he caught 4 of 6 targets for 56 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Breece Hall played 16 games and scored 207.7 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing RB19.

He carried 243 times for 1065 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 48 targets for 350 more yards.

That came to 15.2 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 64 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 15 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Breece Hall scored 13.0 PPR points a game and Tetairoa McMillan 12.4, 0.5 a game between them.

Breece Hall finished RB19 and Tetairoa McMillan WR16, which are two different ladders.

Breece Hall is a running back and Tetairoa McMillan a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Breece Hall is off in Week 13 and Tetairoa McMillan in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.