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Should I start Rico Dowdle or Tyrone Tracy Jr. in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 5:01 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Rico Dowdle: Listed Questionable (Knee) (Sleeper injury feed)

Week 7 verdict

Start

RB · PIT · at NO · Questionable

Market projects
7.8
fantasy pts
NO D vs RB
29.7
most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
62 of 100 at RB
Snap share
36%
Through Week 6
Target share
9%
Through Week 6
Sit

RB · NYG · at HOU

Market projects
6.3
fantasy pts
HOU D vs RB
18.9
9th fewest to RBs (2026)
Start Dowdle or Tracy? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start Rico Dowdle: his market-based projection is 1.5 points a game ahead of Tyrone Tracy Jr.'s this season.

Should I drop Tyrone Tracy Jr. for Rico Dowdle?

Not on these numbers alone. Tyrone Tracy Jr. projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.4 a game over 10 games) and Rico Dowdle 36 (3.6 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Tyrone Tracy Jr., 7.8 to 6.3 projected PPR points. Rico Dowdle is listed questionable.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB23 · PIT · bye 9

2025 vs rush yds line 6-11

Market-based projection
7.8 pts a game

RB27 · NYG · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
6.3 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference1.5 points a game
  • Board size311 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Rico Dowdle's market-based projection is 7.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 102nd highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Tyrone Tracy Jr.'s market-based projection is 6.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 115th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Rico Dowdle, and the board ranks him 53rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyrone Tracy Jr., and the board ranks him 72nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Rico Dowdle has been on the field for 36 percent of PIT snaps, taken 35 percent of the carries, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 17 two minute targets.

His 11 targets have come 1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 1 against ATL he carried 8 times for 15 yards, caught 2 of 5 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against NE he carried 7 times for 22 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 22 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against TB he carried 7 times for 40 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Tyrone Tracy Jr. has been on the field for 15 percent of NYG snaps, taken 8 percent of the carries, drawn 3 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 55 third down targets, had 1 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 27 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have averaged 1.7 air yards.

In Week 4 against ARI he carried 1 time for -1 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against WAS he carried 3 times for 6 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NO he carried 6 times for 18 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 27 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Rico Dowdle played 17 games and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He carried 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 more yards.

That came to 13.9 carries a game at 4.6 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tyrone Tracy Jr. played 15 games and scored 160.8 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing RB28.

He carried 176 times for 740 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 48 targets for 288 more yards.

That came to 11.7 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Rico Dowdle was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Rico Dowdle scored 12.7 PPR points a game and Tyrone Tracy Jr. 10.7, 2.0 a game between them.

Rico Dowdle finished RB18 that year and Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB28.

Rico Dowdle had 60 more carries than Tyrone Tracy Jr., 236 to 176.

Rico Dowdle had 3 more catches than Tyrone Tracy Jr., 39 to 36.

This season Rico Dowdle holds the bigger snap share, 36 percent against 15 percent.

This season Rico Dowdle holds the bigger share of the carries, 35 percent against 8 percent.

Byes and availability

Rico Dowdle is off in Week 9 and Tyrone Tracy Jr. in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tyrone Tracy Jr. for Rico Dowdle?

    Not on these numbers alone. Tyrone Tracy Jr. projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.4 a game over 10 games) and Rico Dowdle 36 (3.6 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Tyrone Tracy Jr., 7.8 to 6.3 projected PPR points. Rico Dowdle is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Tyrone Tracy Jr.?

    Not on these numbers alone. Rico Dowdle projects 36 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.6 a game over 10 games) and Tyrone Tracy Jr. 34 (3.4 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Tyrone Tracy Jr., 7.8 to 6.3 projected PPR points. Rico Dowdle is listed questionable.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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