Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Tyrone Tracy Jr.?

Not on these numbers alone. Rico Dowdle projects 36 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.6 a game over 10 games) and Tyrone Tracy Jr. 34 (3.4 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Tyrone Tracy Jr., 7.8 to 6.3 projected PPR points. Rico Dowdle is listed questionable.

Start Rico Dowdle or Tyrone Tracy Jr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 5:01 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Latest

Oct 21, 5:43 PM ET: Rico Dowdle: Listed Questionable (Knee) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Rico Dowdle over Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Start

Rico Dowdle

RB · PIT · at NO · Questionable

Market projects: 7.8; fantasy pts
NO D vs RB: 29.7; most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 62 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 36%; Through Week 6
Target share: 9%; Through Week 6

Sit

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

RB · NYG · at HOU

Market projects: 6.3; fantasy pts
HOU D vs RB: 18.9; 9th fewest to RBs (2026)

Should I drop Tyrone Tracy Jr. for Rico Dowdle?

Not on these numbers alone. Tyrone Tracy Jr. projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.4 a game over 10 games) and Rico Dowdle 36 (3.6 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Tyrone Tracy Jr., 7.8 to 6.3 projected PPR points. Rico Dowdle is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Rico Dowdle over Tyrone Tracy Jr. in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Rico Dowdle at 7.8 points and Tyrone Tracy Jr. at 6.3, a gap of 1.5. Drafters take Rico Dowdle at ADP 76 and Tyrone Tracy Jr. at 192.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 7.8 fantasy points for Rico Dowdle, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Rico Dowdle is 33 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (12, 13, 12 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.3 fantasy points for Tyrone Tracy Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tyrone Tracy Jr. is 24 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (9, 9, 11 and 12 market sources).

That puts Rico Dowdle 1.5 points ahead of Tyrone Tracy Jr. on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Rico Dowdle and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 29.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 117 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against NO and caught passes for 31 more yards.

Tyrone Tracy Jr. and NYG visit HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 18.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 9th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 76 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against HOU and caught passes for 22 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Rico Dowdle has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Rico Dowdle is listed as questionable with a knee injury.

Tyrone Tracy Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Rico Dowdle played 36 percent of PIT snaps, took 35 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Rico Dowdle, Week 1 against ATL: 39 of 67 snaps, 8 carries for 15 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 2 against NE: 18 of 70 snaps, 7 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 6 against TB: 21 of 79 snaps, 7 carries for 40 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Rico Dowdle played 17 games for CAR and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He ran 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 yards.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyrone Tracy Jr. played 15 games for NYG and scored 160.8 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing RB28.

He ran 176 times for 740 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 48 targets for 288 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tyrone Tracy Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against DAL: 18 carries for 103 yards, 9 targets and 8 catches for 56 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.9 PPR points.

Tyrone Tracy Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against LV: 42 of 64 snaps, 14 carries for 62 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for -5 yards, 6.7 PPR points.

Tyrone Tracy Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against MIN: 35 of 56 snaps, 16 carries for 71 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 9.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Tyrone Tracy Jr. for Rico Dowdle?
Not on these numbers alone. Tyrone Tracy Jr. projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.4 a game over 10 games) and Rico Dowdle 36 (3.6 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Tyrone Tracy Jr., 7.8 to 6.3 projected PPR points. Rico Dowdle is listed questionable.
Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Tyrone Tracy Jr.?
Not on these numbers alone. Rico Dowdle projects 36 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.6 a game over 10 games) and Tyrone Tracy Jr. 34 (3.4 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Tyrone Tracy Jr., 7.8 to 6.3 projected PPR points. Rico Dowdle is listed questionable.