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Aaron Nesmith or Christian Braun? Week 1

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), SFs ranked 28th and 31st at the position, compared on 2025-26 per-game production.

FP/G
23.5
9-cat
#190
Last 10 FP
23.7

Day to day (Rest)

3 games in Week 1

Week 1 pick in points leagues.

FP/G
23.7
9-cat
#162
Last 10 FP
22.3

2 games in Week 1

Week 1 pick in 9-cat leagues.

The Week 1 call

Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Aaron Nesmith. Aaron Nesmith has 3 games counted to 2 for Christian Braun, for 70.6 projected fantasy points against 47.4.

9-cat leagues: Christian Braun instead, -5.6 category value for the week to -10.7, because his category mix is worth more there.

Aaron Nesmith played 30.8 minutes a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, in line with his 29.7 on the board.

Christian Braun's minutes are up: 33.8 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 31.8 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25), side by side

This weekAaron NesmithChristian Braun
Games, Week 132
Games counted (left this week)32
Back-to-backs00
Games, Week 243
Minutes, last games30.8 (last 5)33.8 (last 5)
Minutes, board29.731.8
Shots per 36, last games13.611.1
InjuryDay to day (Rest)None listed
Projected fantasy points70.647.4
Projected 9-cat value-10.7-5.6

Schedule: Aaron Nesmith Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN. Christian Braun Thu @OKC, Sat NOP.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatAaron NesmithChristian Braun
Points41.423.9
Rebounds12.59.6
Assists5.75.5
Steals1.71.4
Blocks1.50.5
Threes7.02.0
Turnovers4.22.0

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 5 games of 2025-26. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: Christian Braun, 23.7 fantasy points per game to 23.5.

9-cat leagues: Christian Braun again, 162nd overall against 190th.

Per game, side by side

StatAaron NesmithChristian Braun
Fantasy points per game23.523.7
Minutes29.731.8
PointsPTS13.812.0
ReboundsREB4.24.8
AssistsAST1.92.7
StealsSTL0.60.7
BlocksBLK0.50.3
Threes3PM2.31.0
Field goal %FG%41.4%51.9%
Free throw %FT%82.9%78.2%
TurnoversTO1.41.0

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

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Other close calls

Week 1 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Common questions

  • Should I start Aaron Nesmith or Christian Braun in Week 1?

    Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Aaron Nesmith. Aaron Nesmith has 3 games counted to 2 for Christian Braun, for 70.6 projected fantasy points against 47.4. 9-cat leagues: Christian Braun instead, -5.6 category value for the week to -10.7, because his category mix is worth more there. Aaron Nesmith played 30.8 minutes a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, in line with his 29.7 on the board. Christian Braun's minutes are up: 33.8 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 31.8 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Aaron Nesmith or Christian Braun?

    Points leagues: Christian Braun, 23.7 fantasy points per game to 23.5. 9-cat leagues: Christian Braun again, 162nd overall against 190th.

  • Who wins more categories, Aaron Nesmith or Christian Braun?

    Aaron Nesmith is ahead in 4 (points, blocks, threes, free throw percentage); Christian Braun in 5 (rebounds, assists, steals, field goal percentage, turnovers), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 8:41 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number